Tóm tắt Luận án Impact of microcredit on the income of poor households in the southeast region

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RELATED STUDY WORKS  
The scientific study topics  
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1. Nguyen Hong Thu et. al., (2016). Solutions to improve the performance of  
microfinance in Binh Duong. Approved on Aug 19, 2016. (Chairman of  
scientific research topic at grassroots levels).  
2. Nguyen Hong Thu et. al., (2017). Factors affecting the income of poor  
households through microcredit activities in Binh Duong. Approved on Oct  
31, 2017. (Chairman of scientific research topic at grassroots levels).  
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The scientific articles published in journals  
1. Nguyen Hong Thu, Pham Cong Luan and Tran Thi Cam Van (2017). Poverty  
reduction in Binh Duong from the perspective of microfinance. Journal of  
Thu Dau Mot University. No. 02 (33), Apr 2017.  
2. Nguyen Hong Thu (2017). Social capital with access to micro-credit of rural  
households in the Southeast region. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy,  
Mar 2017.  
3. Nguyen Hong Thu and Nguyen Van Diep (2017). Impact of resources on  
income of rural households in Binh Duong province. Journal of Economic  
Management. No. 81 (Mar + Apr 2017).  
4. Nguyen Hong Thu (2017). Microcredit with income of the poor in rural  
Southeast region. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Apr 2017.  
5. Nguyen Hong Thu (2017). Access to microcredit of households in the lacquer  
village in Binh Duong. Banking Technology Magazine. No. 134, May  
2017.  
6. Nguyen Hong Thu (2018). The role of microcredit in livelihoods of poor  
households in the Southeast region. Journal of Economic Management, No.  
88 (Apr + May 2018).  
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CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION OF STUDY OVERVIEW  
1.1. The necessityof study topic  
Along with the activities of microfinance, microcredit contributes to the  
practical effect of poverty reduction. It is an important tool in the fight against the  
poverty, especially in developing countries (Humle and Mosley, 1996; Shaw, 2004).  
In spite of that, this conclusion is still a matter continuing to be discussed and  
increasingly attracted many different opinions of researchers, with each study, the  
authors have introduced, analyzed different aspects and fields. There are some  
options that impact relation of microcredit on income is statistically insignificant  
(Sen, 2008; Rukiye, 2012) or other options showed that they did not find the impacts  
of microcredit on the income of households (Diadup and Zeller, 2001); the study of  
Morduch (1998) found that credit from the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh reduced the  
vulnerability rather than poverty reduction and the study of Coleman (1999) showed  
that they found only a significant impact of microcredit on the welfare of households  
in Thailand.  
Up to now, the government in most countries has recognized the active role of  
microcredit to poverty reduction, its science research activities on microcredit are  
increasingly attracting attention from many experts as well as scholars in the country  
and abroad. In order to continue the inheritance, to understand the impact of  
microcredit on the income of poor households and especially in the Southeast region,  
there is no research conducted yet, but in this study, theoretical framework is formed  
on the background of theories, the analysis based on the practical characteristics of  
the region to clarify the objectives set out in the study. Before this context, the study  
proposes the key issues that need to be explored, that are (1) to check the theoretical  
point that microcredit affecting poverty reduction through income factor of the  
households is necessary, (2) to improve income for poor households, it is needed to  
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improve the access to microcredit to the households and (3) how to improve the  
access to microcredit to the poor to have additional capital to improve their income?  
Therefore, the study topic needed to be implemented is “Impact of Microcredit on  
the Income of Poor Households in the Southeast Region”.  
1.2. Overview of the study topic  
As part of the microfinance activity, microcredit is recognized contributing to the  
enhancement of self-reliance and capacity to create product value, opening  
opportunities for the poor to develop their livelihoods to improve and enhance the  
quality of life. In Vietnam, the famous typical studies of authors such as Nguyen Kim  
Anh et al., (2011) with the study of microcredit to the poor in Vietnam - Verification  
and comparison, or a series of other studies on the poor such as evaluation of poverty  
reduction policies in Ho Chi Minh City (Phung Duc Tung et al., 2013), evaluation of  
poverty reduction models of foreign partners in Vietnam (Nguyen Duc Nhat et al.,  
2013), ... Most of the studies have high consensus on the effectiveness of microcredit  
with the poverty reduction war of the country. The studies above outlined the basic  
modes of operation of microcredit both in the country and abroad, evaluated and  
analyzed the impact of microcredit on the ability to generate income from customers.  
However, these studies have just mentioned overall the impact of microcredit on  
income. The objective of this thesis is to clarify the issues mentioned in this study  
and practical application in the Southeast region.  
1.3. Objectives and questions  
1.3.1. General objectives  
The objective of this thesis is to verify the hypothesis of the microcredit impact on  
income for poor households and to identify factors affecting the access to microcredit  
of the poor households in order to find solutions to increase income through  
increasing access to microcredit for them.  
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1.3.2. Specific objectives  
Based on the general objectives of the research, the thesis sets out three  
specific objectives that need to be addressed as follows:  
Study the impact of microcredit on the income of poor households in the  
Southeast region.  
Understand the impact of factors on access to microcredit of the poor  
households.  
Recommend the solutions contributing to income increasing for the poor  
households through enhancing the access to microcredit and other non-financial  
activities for poor households in the region.  
1.3.3. Questions for study  
To achieve the target set out, the thesis shall answer the following questions:  
Does microcredit affect the income of poor households? And how the levels  
of impact are?  
How the access to microcredit of the poor households is? What solutions  
should be taken to increase the access to microcredit for poor households?  
What policy recommendations contribute to increase the income for poor  
households through microcredit activities in the Southeast region?  
1.4. Object and scope of study  
1.4.1. Object of study  
Originating from the urgency of study and practice in the study area, the thesis  
determining the objects to be clarified in this study is the income of poor households  
(specifically, the income of the microcredit borrowers and the non-microcredit  
borrowers).  
1.4.2. Scope of study  
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1.4.2.1.Scope of space  
Provinces of the Southeast region, including Binh Duong, Binh Phuoc, Dong Nai and  
Tay Ninh province.  
1.4.2.2. Scope of time  
Studying to understand and analyze the secondary data sources from relevant local  
reports in the period of 2011 - 2017. Time for survey implementation is 2016.  
1.5. Approach, study method, study data sources  
1.5.1. Approach  
The study uses the systematic approach. The study uses qualitative in combination  
with quantitative research method.  
1.5.2. Analysis method of the study  
The study uses the statistical, analysis method of related primary and secondary data.  
The method interviews 15 experts. The survey method using semi-structured  
questionnaire with the surveyed subjects as poor households in the area.  
1.5.3. Source of study data  
Secondary data source.  
Primary data source.  
1.6. New points and contributions of the thesis  
1.6.1. Contribution in terms of practicality  
Firstly, the thesis has practical application in the current period when the  
whole country has made a re-evaluation of the poverty reduction and is stepping into  
a new phase with the application of the multidimensional poverty (period 2016-  
2020).  
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Secondly, the thesis has proved that microcredit plays an important  
contribution to poverty reduction strategy, especially in a Southeast region with a  
high economic growth rate in the Southern key economic region of Vietnam.  
1.6.2. Contribution in terms of academically  
Firstly, the thesis summarizes the assessment comprehensively to the impact  
of microcredit on the poor household incomes and affirms that microcredit is an  
effective tool in poverty reduction strategy. Although there are still many  
controversial discussions about the effectiveness of microcredit, within the scope of  
this research, the thesis contributes to sum up relevant theoretical foundations. The  
summing-up is meant to help the next researchers access the credit-income theory,  
the theory to access microcredit, and the statistical implications with the impact of  
microcredit, the impact of non-financial activities affecting the poor household  
income.  
Secondly, it compares and asserts that there is a difference in income between  
the two groups of microcredit borrowers and non-microcredit borrowers. Particularly,  
the group of microcredit borrowers has the average income higher than the group of  
non-borrowers.  
Thirdly, together with the microcredit activities, non-financial activities are  
organized in parallel with the process of deploying financial resources to poor  
households, which is assessed to be an efficient complementary activity, contributing  
to improve the performance of microcredit with poverty reduction. This research  
assumes that non-financial activity influences the ability to raise income to poor  
households.  
Fourthly, the social capital (SC), which currently has many studies to analyze  
the influence of social capital on the participation in credit services in general, but the  
understanding of the impact of social security on the access to microcredit in the  
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previous studies have not paid much attention; the thesis confirms that social capital  
is an issue that is necessary to promote and expand during the performance of  
poverty reduction strategy.  
1.7. The structure of the thesis  
The thesis consists of 5 chapters with the following contents:  
Chapter 1: Introduction to study overview  
Chapter 2: Overview of theoretical basis on microcredit to income of poor  
households  
Chapter 3: Research method  
Chapter 4: Microcredit activities in the area and test results  
Chapter 5: Conclusions of solutions  
CHAPTER 2: OVERVIEW OF THEORETICAL BASIS ON MICROCREDIT  
TO INCOME OF POOR HOUSEHOLDS  
2.1. Micro credit  
2.1.1. Concept  
The term of “microcredit” shall be defined as “Microcredit is the provision of small  
loans to poor, low-income borrowers to help them create the business, build the  
asset, and increase the income”.  
2.1.2. The role of microcredit for poverty reduction  
Firstly, starting from the initiation by Prof. Muhamad Yunus from very small loans,  
but it has helped thousands of poor workers have the opportunity to open the door to  
earn the living. Although it is small loans, it comes to them when they need it most,  
as a “lifebuoy” to help them overcome difficulties and obstacles. In Vietnam, the  
small lending activity is provided by MFIs, financial institutions, NGOs or social  
organizations in the formal, semi-formal and informal area (Nguyen Kim Anh et al.,  
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2011). Up to now, it still cannot deny the absence of the role of microcredit for  
campaigns against poverty, especially in developing countries.  
2.1.3. Overview of microcredit activities in countries around the world  
Operation of Grameen Bank model in Bangladesh (GB)  
Microcredit operation in Thailand  
Microcredit operations in India  
Microcredit operations in Indonesia  
Microcredit operations in Canada  
2.2. Poverty  
2.2.1. Concept  
Poverty: The World Bank (2011) considers that poverty is divided into different  
levels: absolute poverty, relative poverty and poverty with minimal demands as  
follows:  
+ Absolute poverty: is the status that a part of the population in the poor area is  
unable to satisfy the minimum demands of life: eating, wearing, living, traveling, ect.  
+ Relative poverty: is the status that a part of the population in the poor area has the  
living below the average living standard of the considered community and locality.  
+ Poverty with minimum demands: is the status that a part of the population has the  
minimum subsistence to maintain their livelihoods, such as enough food, clothing,  
living and some daily activities but at a minimum level.  
2.2.2. Poverty line of some countries in the world  
The popular standard of calories/day in some ASEAN countries is as follows:  
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In India, the standard is 2250 calories/person/day. In Bangladesh, the standard is  
2100 calories/person/day.  
In Indonesia: In the early 1980s, the consumption of calories was 2100  
calories/person/day as a standard to determine the boundaries between rich and poor.  
In China: In 1990, the consumption of calories was 2150 calories/person/day.  
Industrialized countries in Europe: 2570 calories/person/day.  
2.2.3. Poverty line of Vietnam  
In the 1990s, the poverty line in Vietnam was defined as: households with income per  
capita in rural and mountainous areas are from 45,000 VND/person/month (540,000  
VND/person/year) downwards. In rural and delta areas, the households with average  
income per capita was VND 70,000/person/month (840,000 VND/person/year). In  
urban areas, the income per capita was 100,000 VND/person/month (1,200,000  
VND/person/year). In 2006, the poverty line in rural areas was 200,000  
VND/person/month and in urban areas was 260,000 VND/person/month. In the  
period of 2011-2015, the poverty line was 500,000 VND/person/month (urban area)  
and 400,000 VND/person/month (rural area)  
2.3. Income  
2.3.1. Concept  
The General Statistics Office (GSO) (2011) defines that: Income is the total amount  
of money that a person or family earned in a day, a week or a month, or more  
specifically, all that a person earned when devoting the work force properly, so it is  
called income. The monthly income per capita is calculated by dividing the total  
income in year of the household by the number of household members and dividing  
by 12 months.  
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2.3.2. Factors affecting income  
The income of each individual is obtained from devoting the work force,  
participating in labor activities. The contribution of labor force of each individual  
brings income to each individual and family. That contribution brings economic  
value to the family through daily, monthly or even annually income for the  
household. Therefore, to create the valuable products, it requires a combination of  
physical capital and human capital (Ismail and Yussof, 2010). The combination of  
human capital and physical capital produces the labor value expressed by the added  
value of income achieved. In human labor activities, these two inseparable factors as  
follows.  
- Relationship between financial capital and income  
Capital is considered as a “lever” for the process of economic growth and  
development, a stimulation of the process of expanding the scale of production,  
implementation of economic projects and a contribution to increase the benefits,  
create the momentum to the economic development process. When credit markets are  
limited, the producing decision of a household depends on the price of market  
efficiency, p, the characteristics of production and the characteristics of access to  
q h  
(
)
credit shall be: q q         K .  
p
- Difference in income  
The Neoclassical economists gave the theories: Human capital theory, income and  
discrimination theory, production theory ... to explain the fundamental differences in  
the income of individuals or households. Thus, the income is a multivariate function  
depending on many different factors (Y =f (x1,x2,x3…xn). Today, to analyze the  
impact of factors on income, the function most commonly used in the analysis is the  
Cobb-Daughlas function. The Cobb-Daughlas function has the form as follows:  
α1  
α2  
αn  
Y = A.X1 X1 . Xn .eβiD+x D +λ D  
.
i 1 i 2  
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In which, Y is the income; A is the constant; X  
i (i 1,n)  
is the independent variable  
affecting the dependent variable, Y, (income). The hypothesized independent  
variables include credit, household characteristics, environmental factors and related  
policies; e is factors other than factor Xi. In addition to the Cobb-Daughlas function,  
there is also a semi-logarithm function: LN(Y)=β0+β1X1+β2X2+…+βnXn+ei (Mincer,  
1974). Or multivariate linear function such as Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 +…+ βnXn + ei is  
also widely used to estimate household income. From here, the study selects the  
proposes the research model that is a regression model with the form of multi-  
variable linear function to evaluate the impact of microcredit on income of poor  
households as follows:  
Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 +…+ βnXn + ei  
2.3.3. Microcredit for income generating activities  
Microcredit is needed to help poor households generate income (Krog, 2000).  
Microcredit activities are used in developing countries and are highly effective in  
poverty reduction, especially microcredit focuses on women customers in rural areas,  
who have no accessibility capital resources from other financial institutions by  
barriers on collateral and complex and cumbersome procedures, helping them to  
create jobs and generate income (Mohanan, 2005).  
2.4. Overview of access credit theory and barriers to access to credit  
2.4.1. Asymmetric information in credit transaction and credit restriction  
Asymmetric information occurs when the borrower understands their ability to repay  
their loans while the lender does not know the borrower’s limitations. At the same  
time, the borrower does not collect enough information about the loan or the lending  
institutions. As a result, the borrower desires to borrow but cannot access to the loan;  
and the lender does not know the customers who need the loan and bringing about the  
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consequences associated such as lending under the relationship, other complicated  
and cumbersome procedures such as collaterals, guarantors, etc. But to meet these  
conditions, most small and micro enterprises, poor households and low income  
households cannot meet this condition.  
2.4.2. Social capital, measurement of social capital and accessibility to credit  
Until 1990, the American sociologist, James Coleman, gave the concept that social  
capital as the characteristics in the everyday life, social networks, norms, and social  
trust helps members in the society to work together effectively to achieve the  
common goals. Bourdieu (1986) defines that social capital is derived from a direct  
or indirect network, and is a durable network of interrelated relationships that are be  
acquainted and recognize each other.  
2.4.3. Characteristics of households, environmental factors and policies with  
access to credit  
Environmental factor with the distance on geographic gap, housing location and  
characteristics of the living area, and the inadequacy of imperfect information make it  
difficult for customers to access capital but they have to deal with difficulties to  
access (Le Khuong Ninh, 2016, Nguyen Trong Hoai, 2005). People who want to  
borrow cannot borrow and people who do not need the loans are more likely to get  
access, thereby creating distorting motives when borrowing, to get the loans, people  
who want to borrow seeks the way to get loans through the relationship, leading to  
asymmetry in the supply and demand of credit in the financial market.  
2.5. Overview of relevant research documents  
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Table 2.2. Summary table of relevant research results  
Studies  
Object and scope  
of study  
Study method  
Study results  
Microcredit withincome  
Quach Manh Hao Access to credit With a cross-sectional dataset and Characteristics  
and poverty econometric model analysis through affecting the access to credit and  
reduction in rural the field survey data and the  
of  
household  
(2005)  
income of poor households  
population living standard survey  
dataset VLSS 1992/1993 VLSS and  
VLSS 1997/1998  
Vietnam  
Phan Dinh Khoi Living standards of With a cross-sectional dataset for The impact of microcredit on income  
poor households in survey in the Mekong Delta, the study has not been demonstrated clearly in  
(2012)  
used the Propensity Score Matching  
(PSM) technique and Instrumental  
Variable (IV-PE) method in the  
statistical analysis.  
the Mekong Delta  
this study.  
Phung Duc Tung et The  
work  
of Quantitative and qualitative method Credit has impact on poverty  
reduction  
poverty reduction with discontinuous regression model  
al., (2013)  
in Ho Chi Minh  
City in period of  
2009-2013  
in the study  
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Dinh Phi Ho & Income of poor The study uses the Difference in Credit has officially impacted on  
households  
in Differences (DID) method to assess  
household incomes and expenditures.  
Dong Duc (2015)  
Vietnam in the the impact of formal credit on  
period of 2006- incomes and expenditures of farmer  
2012  
households  
Study  
microcredit  
activities in India  
the  
Microcredit affects the income-  
generating capacity of the poor,  
empowering the women position.  
Mohanan (2005)  
Qualitative research method  
Islam and Ahmed Study  
the Quantitative method with statistical Microcredit affects the ability to do  
microcredit impact  
business, create jobs, and build assets  
of customers  
(2010)  
analysis through SEM linear model  
on  
income  
generating  
activities  
customers  
of  
Study  
the  
Microcredit offers borrowers the  
opportunity to increase the labor  
changes, diversify the livelihoods for  
poor households  
Brown (2010)  
Qualitative research method  
microcredit impact  
on economic  
development, job  
creation and  
income generation  
The role  
microcredit  
of The qualitative analysis method with Microcredit has no statistically  
in the analysis of random interview data  
Ahmed et al., (2011)  
15  
economic  
from 20 people surveyed  
significant impact  
development  
and  
poverty reduction  
Microcredit with Quantitative research method with Microcredit helps improve the  
income of women logit regression model, survey data business skills and generate the  
Vitor et al., (2012)  
Rykiye (2012)  
from  
300  
microcredit  
women  
income of credit women borrowers.  
in Central Ghana  
borrowers  
Study  
microcredit  
the The survey data analysis method from MICROCREDIT does not have an  
with 2,036 observations of poor households impact on income, microcredit  
income change of  
participating  
borrowers as a normal need for  
capital.  
in Turkey  
members  
Study  
differences  
income  
the Quantitative analysis method with There is a difference in income  
in Propensity Score Matching (PSM) between borrowers and non-  
Ayen (2016)  
of from the female head of household  
survey dataset at Jimma Zone  
borrowers  
microcredit  
borrowers and non-  
borrowers  
Accessibility to credit of households  
Nguyen Quoc Oanh Study the accessibility Quantitative method with two- The monthly income and purpose of  
and Pham Thi My step regression technique of borrowing affects accessibility to  
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Heckman (1999) through a  
survey dataset of 116 households  
Dung (2010)  
of formal credit  
formal credit of households.  
Nguyen Phuong Le Accessibility to formal Statistical method describes the The families with better economic  
and Nguyen Mau credit  
resources  
of survey data from 60 households  
interviewed based on the pre-set  
questionnaire structure  
conditions can access higher credit  
Dung (2011) farmer households  
Phan Dinh Khoi Formal and informal Statistical analysis based on Income, employment of households  
accessibility of farmers survey data of 358 observation  
(2013)  
affect accessibility of households.  
samples  
from  
919  
rural  
in the Mekong Delta  
households  
Tran Ai Kiet and Accessibility to formal Statistical analysis based on the The values of assets, income, and  
Huynh Trung Thoi credit of farmers in An survey results of 150 farmer purpose of borrowing affect the  
accessibility to formal credit of  
farmer households.  
(2013)  
Giang  
households in the studied area  
Accessibility  
to Causal analysis compares the Rural households may participate  
AFD (2008)  
microcredit of rural ability  
to  
borrow  
from more in microcredit loan when they  
have stable income and are not  
affected by seasonal factor.  
households in Morocco microcredit  
Ibrhim and Bauer Access to microcredit Quantitative method with probit The characteristics of households  
and the impact of the  
microcredit approach to  
with members with good production  
experience can access more  
(2013)  
regression technique  
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income  
of  
farmer  
households  
Masud and Islam Study the social capital Quantitative method with probit Social capital affects the access to  
with access to credit of regression technique through  
(2014)  
credit of households  
households  
Bangladesh  
in random survey data from 153  
households in Bangladesh  
Source: Summaries of the author  
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2.6. Theoretical foundations forming theoretical frameworks for study and  
the establishment of research hypotheses  
Theory of capital resource of Ismail and Yussof (2010) shown that income is  
formed by physical capital and human capital. Physical capital is acquired by  
themselves or borrowing in the form of monetary or physical (physical is shown  
in the form of assets, labor materials, means of production, etc.). Human capital  
is gained through the labor accumulation, which is the skills and knowledge  
accumulated during the learning and life experience. During creating value for  
labor product, it cannot lack one of these two elements above; they complete  
each other and indispensable in every human activity. Human capital is  
involved in the operation, creation on the basis of physical capital and vice  
versa. Thus, when considering the income of an individual, a family needs a  
general assessment of the many factors that make up the value of income.  
Therefore, to assess the income of poor households, it is necessary to assess  
overall between the income and access of microcredit of households. Speeding  
up income for poor households on the basis of increasing access to microcredit  
for poor households. With the above arguments, the thesis establishes two  
research models and needs to be clarified in the study and theoretical  
framework of the study formed as Figure 2.2.  
Social capital  
Microcredit  
Household  
Household  
characteristics  
Access  
to MC  
characteristics  
Income  
Environment and  
preferential credit  
Environmental  
characteristics and  
non-financial  
policies of the locality  
activities  
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Figure 2.2. Theoretical framework for study  
Source: The author proposes based on theory foundations and previous studies  
Based on the above studies and based on the arguments of the research theory  
foundations, the thesis formed hypothesis on income of households affected by  
the following groups of hypothesis:  
(1) Microcredit (group of hypothesis H1);  
(2) Household characteristics (employment, number of labor generating jobs,  
number of dependents in the family - group of hypothesis H2);  
(3) Environmental characteristics and non-financial activities (group of  
hypothesis H3)  
Thus, it shown that, in order to promote the income increasing, it requires to  
increase accessibility to microcredit for them. The thesis establishes a  
Microcredit access model based on the foundations of the previous theory and  
studies. The summarized groups of hypothesis are included:  
(1) Social capital (group of hypothesis H4);  
(2) Household characteristics (income, employment - group of hypothesis  
H5);  
(3) Environment and preferential credit policies of the locality (group of  
hypothesis H6).  
2.7. Gaps in research  
Through examine summarily the relevant studies, most studies affirm that  
microcredit offers many benefits to the poor such as increasing welfare,  
increasing empowerment for women, generating income and improving the  
living.  
By this argument, it shown that the gaps should continue to be inherited and  
clarified in the study are: (1) the study of the microcredit impact on the income  
of poor households and to find out whether there is the income difference  
between two groups of microcredit borrowers and non-borrowers? (2) the  
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